'A man in China takes a bat soup and at the other end of the world you got fired.' (@laJuani_Crazy).
The Butterfly Effect has mutated into the Baterfly Effect, and confronts us with what some identify as a clear case of Taleb's Black Swan that companies cannot foresee. However I disagree with that interpretation.
Those who know me most intimately will remember my sermons warning of the 2008 crisis. My arguments were belittled even in my closest circle. It is not easy to be heard when you seem the only sober at a drunk party. So, even at the risk of being called Captain Hindsight, let's wash the Swan. Maybe we'll find out why it wasn't as black (unexpected) as it looked.
We have already said in the article 'The time machine' and 'The Star of the Unborn' that to identify and classify the elements and mechanisms of change in long-term prospective activity, we must take into account two factors: Impact and plausibility.